Hotline's Final $$$ Predictions for 2008 Candidates, 1st Quarter

By: Lowell
Published On: 3/31/2007 5:14:20 PM

Sen. Hillary Clinton will raise between $23M and $30M. (RESULT: $26 million plus $10 million from Senate campaign account)

Sen. John McCain will raise between $18M and $22M. (RESULT:  McCain raised only $12.5 million.  Sounds like trouble to me.)

Sen. Barack Obama will raise between $18M and $24M. (RESULT:  Obama raised $25 million.  Very impressive!

Ex-MA Gov. Mitt Romney will raise between $19M and $21M. ** Romney is not raising general election money yet. (RESULT:  Romney raised $21 million. Impressive.)

Ex-Sen. John Edwards will raise between $13M and $17M. (Result: Reportedly, Edwards raised "in excess of $14 million.")

Ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani will raise between $12M and $15M. (RESULT: Looks like $15 million raised this quarter, plus a transfer of $2 million=$17 million total)

Based on these ranges, Hillary Clinton could be ahead of the second-place Democrat by as much as $12 million.  Or, she could be trailing Barack Obama by $1 million if these estimates are correct, if Obama comes in at the top of his range, and if Clinton comes in at the bottom of hers.  We'll see...should be interesting.

P.S. Jerome Armstrong has excellent diaries at MyDD on the fundraising situation for Edwards and Obama.

Comments



OK, am I the only one... (Detcord - 4/1/2007 12:30:24 PM)
...that seems bothered by the focus on money and not issues?  The trends here say that the Presidency and other elected offices are, and have been, for sale to highest bidders (donors).  This whole system is beginning to disgust me.  There's got to be a better way.


Sure, but public financing of campaigns (Lowell - 4/1/2007 1:51:54 PM)
has been rejected over and over again.  The current system is mainly about special interests and incumbent protection, I'd say.


Agree, but still relieved (relawson - 4/1/2007 3:14:16 PM)
Agree that the system is fundamentally flawed.  The only people who have any business donating to American politicians are American citizens or permanent residents - not artificial entities like corporations - and especially not those representing foreign interests.

That said, I am relieved that Edwards is making a strong showing.  I don't think we expected him to be leading, but I think that Obama will start seeing diminishing returns and Edwards will be in the running with Hillary going forward.

Eventually people will realize that, great speaker and leader or not, Obama isn't ready to be President.  He lacks experience.  I personally don't want Hillary to win the primary because short of a scandal, I don't think Hillary can win the general election. 

I know it is too early to be making these predictions, but my gut tells me this will unfold into a race between Edwards and Hillary.



You're not the only one (vadem - 4/1/2007 5:12:38 PM)
I, for one, think the money race is obscene and boils down to the buying of political office.  I'll bet if American voters got a say in it, there would be no question that public financing or some sort of real reform would be the law of the land. As long as we have elected officials making the decisions, the status quo will continue.  Just think of the people that could be helped with the millions and millions of dollars that the candidates are grubbing after.


Limited to 6 (novamiddleman - 4/2/2007 8:43:35 AM)
The really disguting thing is that the media is only talking about 3 candidates on either side

I thought this was supposed to be a wide-open primary.

You also have to love the irony when they report.  "It's important to remember money is not the sole indicator of success"

Ok MSM I am calling you out.  For the next six weeks pick an issue a week and report on that instead.