Webb on Bush's Plan: "It Doesn't Bring a Lot to the Table"

By: Lowell
Published On: 1/11/2007 10:42:52 AM

Following President Bush's Iraq speech last night, Jim Webb provided expert analysis on the NewsHour with Jim Lehrer.  The audio is available here.  My unofficial transcript (only of Webb, not Thune) follows:

Question by Gwen Ifel: Senator Webb, do you believe your colleagues' response that what the President has laid out is actually the correct path?

Webb:  Well, I think the problem that we have right now is the same problem we've had for the last 5 years.  That is, that this Administration has never laid out a clear strategy that the American people can understand that has an end point.  And in a lot of ways, this is just a lot more flailing around.  We want a good solution, but the only way that we can really get a good solution to the situation in Iraq is to go to some sort of a regional approach where we can get the diplomatic forces to the table. In many ways this reminds me of the situation in Lebanon when I was in Lebanon for the MacNeil-Lehrer NewsHour back in 1983.  You've got a very fragile government, you have a group of militia forces based on ethnicity around them. We've got a brain drain and a talent drain going out which is creating a sort of reverse entropy in terms of the ability to affect problems and with talented people being around it. And then with this fragile government you've got two things that are happening. The first is that we are trying to put demands on it when it can't really control the country.  And the second thing is that it leads more and more to the notion that we're going to have outside intervention from countries in the region.  We keep hearing these news reports, particularly from the Administration, where they're sounding the alarm bell of the Saudis doing something and the Iranians possibly doing something. And the way to address that is instead of allowing the centrifugal forces of chaos to bring these countries into Iraq, we need to do it with American leadership so that we can have a diplomatic structure where these other countries will begin to take some ownership of the result.  We can't do this by ourselves. And we're not hearing that from the Administration.  We're hearing it on the tactical response; you know, that the the troop levels in Iraq have varied from say 112[,000] to 160,000 over a number of years.  This is another one of these tactical responses to a situation that is regional in nature and has grave overtones for the United States.
Question from Gwen Ifel: Well, let me ask Senator Webb whether his will be part of the support for it, and if indeed you do support this resolution, what about the answer to Sen. Thune's question, "What else?"

Webb: There are many "what elses." The difficulty with this Administration is they have defined a win on their own terms and very narrowly. You know, the scenario for the possible ramifications of a pullout basically from our allies and from our friends in the region is based on the fact that we would do that precipitously. But if we did this in a way where we had a diplomatic umbrella, where we had the involvement of the other countries in a solution, that is not something that's going to happen.  And, in fact, sooner or later we are going to leave.  Because the other side of this equation is that there will never be true peace in Iraq as long as there are American combat forces in the streets of Iraq. There never will be.  So we have to work toward that point and the way that we do that is with international involvement, with diplomatic involvement.  And with respect to this particular plan, what is it?  It's, you know, we're spending a lot of time talking to it. But it's very marginal, it's tactical, it doesn't bring a lot to the table.  To say that this is the only alternative is to deny the fact that there's a lot of creative energy out here if people will listen to it. 

With respect to the Kennedy proposal, I agree with Senator Kennedy that...it's basically what is called a retrenchment, an appropriations retrenchment. It is an appropriate power of the Congress to do that. It's very difficult to apply it to the situations that they are talking about right now.  But I'll tell you one thing, I do not see myself voting for any more money for these reconstruction and economic projects inside Iraq when we've got places like New Orleans that haven't gotten help.  I mean, we haven't been able to see a bottom line from the nearly half a trillion dollars that have gone into Iraq.  Support the troops, yes. But the rest of this stuff?  I believe that Americans believe in the free marketplace...Iraq is a very entrepreurial culture and they can solve a lot of these problems themselves.

Question from Gwen Ifel: Senator Webb, do you think there are sufficient benchmarks in there for the Iraqis?

Webb: Well, let me say this...there's two concerns that I have here.  The first is that, in this debate - and, as you may know, I was an early warning voice saying that it was a strategic error for us to invade Iraq in the first place - in this debate we tend to focus on the solution inside Iraq as a microcosm, when as a result of the invasion and occupation of Iraq, this now has very large regional and international overtones.  And we have to do more in that side of it rather than accepting the terrain of this debate the way the Administration has presented it as projects inside Iraq. I mean, that's my first concern on this.

And then, the second concern is...you know, the President tonight, one thing that he said that jumped out at me was when he said that, in talking about the present government, that if they don't act, then they may lose the support of the Iraqi people.  And again, we have to realize that this government by itself is a very fragile government, and there's only so much pressure that the United States can put on it.  I'm not sure that they have the ability to control events in Iraq in the way that we are expecting them to based on this speech.  Do we really think they're going to take full control of all the provinces in Iraq by November?  If that's the promise that this Administration is making, we should be seeing some really dramatic changes over the next month or so.


Comments



Thanks! (phriendlyjaime - 1/11/2007 10:51:26 AM)
People heard that he responded, and were very upset they missed it.  This diary should be spread around and loved by all.  :)


Return of the Dark Lord (Bubby - 1/11/2007 11:10:06 AM)
He's b-a-a-a-ck. Henry Kissinger.  The man that crafted the deceits of secret war in Cambodia, and the Carpetbombing of Hanoi is back in the oval office.  Can he be crafting a remake of the "Peace with Honor" ...that was neither?  Is anyone else creeped-out by this development?

Is this Surge, a Kissinger Ploy?



Foot-in-the-door (KathyinBlacksburg - 1/11/2007 11:18:45 AM)
Webb is right.  There's not much new.  So why the charade?  I believe that Bush's speech, and attempt once more to get people to fall into line,is nothing more than a foot-in-the-door to more than escalation.  It's about expansion, widening the war to other countries.  He's already started to increase the numbers in Iraq.  Others are preparing to leave.  The number of troop strength in Iraq is half the story.  We have the hidden army of contractor-mercenaries, which some estimate to be around 100,000.  The latter is under the radar so we won't know much about it. 

But in order to get Americans to buy into his expansion to other areas beyond Iraq, he must continue some semblance of authorization.  And push Americans (or scare them) into submission.  He's now launched an attack on a new front in Somalia.  He's dug his heels in and refused to talk to Iran and Syria.  He stood by while Israel destroyed a good deal of Lebanon.  He's talked threateningly to other countries such as N. Korea and Venezuela. 

The Senate and House must act to thwart these ambitions.



Nervous Times (Ron1 - 1/11/2007 11:46:46 AM)
Nothing in the AUMF for al Qaeda/Taliban/Afghanistan, nor the Iraq resolution, give the President any leeway to conduct military options against Iran. Should he open another front in this war, we are looking at a constitutional showdown due to an illegal act of war without congressional declaration. I hope the Democrats make clear that any such action would be the end of the line. Sadly, I doubt there are 16 Republican Senators that would put their country before their party.


Pressure on the Senate and House (RuthF - 1/11/2007 10:21:11 PM)
We are the ones to continue to put pressure on the Senate and the House through our communications with our own senators (does anyone know when Jim Webb's website wiil be up?) and representatives and the leaders of both houses of congress to stand up to the president in this matter--to use the "power of the purse strings", as Sen Feingold reminded us today in the hearings--

And if Mitch McConnell from Kentucky decides to filibuster any legislation to do so, we should deluge his office to let him know that the deaths of Americans and Iraqis during his childish move to stall such legislation falls directly on him.

I hope that someone continues to remind Republicans that they will be out of a job come 2008 if they don't rally with the Democrats to rein Bush in--it's not often that the politically expedient thing to do is also morally and ethically right--

And we need to make the case the supporting the troops means bringing them out of harm's way--how many of our war dead would still be alive and how many of our wounded would still be whole had the Republicans held Bush accountable as he is now being held?



Just finished listening (Catzmaw - 1/11/2007 11:20:08 AM)
and he really pounded on his points.  Webb is making a tremendous amount of sense here with a very practical, cohesive analysis of the situation.  I love the term "centrifugal forces of chaos".  Nice to have a real wordsmith representing us.