May I be blunt? We could be blowing our big chance

By: Leaves on the Current
Published On: 10/5/2006 12:09:33 PM

For several days now, I've been debating posting a diary on a topic that has now been raised in a Washington Post online discussion (not raised by me, I might add):

Arlington, Va.: After reading The Post article today about the good state of Webb's finances here in Virginia I was left with the question of where the heck is he spending the money. I spent a few days at home sick this week and I can tell you I didn't see any evidence of Webb ad buys - but I did see many airings of those Allen ads featuring former Navy women denouncing Webb. I am a female Democrat and I found the ads very effective. I would have to think independent female voters, many of whom are home during the day with their kids, would be persuaded by them too. Have you heard any reason why the Webb campaign seems to be holding back in getting a message out there?

Peter Baker: A good question. I don't cover the race, so my knowledge is peripheral, but I haven't seen or heard a lot of Jim Webb ads either and it's curious. Webb has been given an opportunity few challengers get, but many Democrats question whether he will manage to capitalize on it.


My sentiments exactly--and an indication it's time to get this issue into the open.

Macaca and its even more lurid aftermath seriously wounded George Allen--no one disputes that.  The latest poll has the two candidates neck and neck.  So why isn't Jim Webb moving forcefully to close the deal with Virginia voters?

Maybe he is so moving in other parts of the state.  But up here in Northern Virginia, the campaign is a very elusive presence.  If you watch even a little local television, or listen to the radio (I listen to a lot of WTOP, the powerful all-news station in the D.C. area), you can't avoid Allen's ads--every one of them, as far as I've seen and heard, negative.  But I've seen and heard nothing from the Webb campaign in weeks.

So where's the pushback?  Where's the aggressive move to take advantage NOW of Virginia voters' doubts about George Allen by letting them know what a terrific senator Jim Webb would be?  Three weeks from now, people's opinions will have settled down again, and it will be too late.

If the Webb campaign has the money, then, as we've now been told--what are they waiting for????  We have a priceless opportunity here, folks; one that is all too brief--and I wish I had more evidence to persuade me that it's not being lost.

Just sign me Worried in NoVa.  And please tell me, if you can, why I shouldn't be.


Comments



But..... (Doug in Mount Vernon - 10/5/2006 12:37:08 PM)
I would have agreed with you a few days ago, but since Tuesday I have seen AT LEAST a dozen Webb ads on Washington DC network TV.

I believe the Webb barrage is on its way.



I really hope you're right (JennyE - 10/5/2006 12:43:07 PM)
There's no question Allen's ads have hurt Webb among women voters, particularly among moderate and independent women.

I'm glad the Webb campaign is responding.



I agree--and the women ad is a particular worry (Leaves on the Current - 10/5/2006 12:52:23 PM)
If today's Zogby numbers mean anything, which they may not (I'm told Zogby is an "interactive poll," far less accurate than the old-fashioned kind), Allen's ad on the women issue could be a tide-turner.

Clearly, it's urgent that the Webb campaign move into high gear on the p.r. front.



It was a phone poll . . . but . . . (PM - 10/5/2006 1:21:56 PM)
1) I believe Zogby polled during the time frame of the 2 minute Allen ad (and all the accompanying media coverage of it)

2) Zogby has Menendez up by 11, Strategic Vision has Kean up by 5 in the same time period

3) But it is clear Webb needs TV ads, and a big story break

4) I think running the women for Webb ad was fine, but he needs to start attacking Allen's Iraq position and alliance with Bush



Get on the Air and get the DSCC to pony up! (Ken C. - 10/5/2006 2:06:25 PM)
Go post at the DSCC blog about getting some ($) and/or ads down here on TV.  I am sitting here in Richmond and getting a John Kerry 04' feeling with these Allen negatives involving woemen. If the campaign is going to blow off central va that's a tactical decision, but they damn sure need to be reacting in other parts of the state! Excuse me for not being more positive, but I don't want anymore "Kerry August 04" flashbacks.  Fire back NOW!

Go to the DSCC blog, addrerss below, and tell them to get up off some cash and start airing some ads. I've seen the anti-Steele Maryland ad and it's very good. Tell Sen. Schumer to give the same level of help to us and we will give him one of the finest people to ever serve in the US Senate. This inaction is a bit demoralizing, which is exactly the re-action that they seek! 
http://www.fromthero...



Good idea--and central Va. is essential-- (Leaves on the Current - 10/5/2006 2:14:37 PM)
--or so one would have thought.  You're now the second Richmonder on this thread, Ken C., to comment on the disparity in the two campaigns' profiles in your area.  That can't be good.

Maybe we really do need to shake some teeth at the DSCC.



Post at the DSCC Blog-Reaction needed to Allen's negatives NOW (Ken C. - 10/5/2006 2:49:11 PM)
I am just getting an awfully sick of feeling like it's August 04 all over again! Yes, central VA is critical and yes it's o.k. to "shake some teeth" at the DSCC. I simply don't understand why the campaign seems to think that Allen's ads aren't having an effect. The time is NOW to "start to seal the deal" and the DSCC damn sure could help. 

By the same token the campaign needs to take a hard look at "sitting on" the cash needed to buy air time for fighting back. Some people are just tuning into this race and all they see down here are Allen's negative ads with a snarling woman practically coming out the TV to rip the throats from women who intend to vote for Jim. More ominous is the threat these ads are to independent and "moderate republican" women who might be leaning to Jim, but are turned off by these ads when there is no message of reassurance and "setting the record straight" from our campaign. 



They're on in Fredericksburg (FxbAmy - 10/5/2006 12:44:05 PM)
I have satelite and I live in the Burg, which means I mostly see (infuriating) DSCC ads against Steele (spend some $$ in VA, Chuck!) and Allen's lode of BS, but I have started seeing Jim's ad here as well.

I'm with you on the spending however.  Quite a few early Webb supporters have bled themselves white keeping the campaign going out of pocket.  Now is the time to open the flood gates and spend some of that $3m.  I personally will start rebuilding his war chest on Nov 8, but right now he needs to spend it all as quickly as he can, and then go get more.

I have a feeling that Bill will help refill the coffers in a couple of weeks....



Webb less in Richmond (JohnM - 10/5/2006 12:47:15 PM)
Well i got my 4 straight week of adds in my mailbox from the NRSC for Allen attacking Webb and making it seem like Webb didnt want women in "colleges they choose" its not till somewhere around the middle of the back of the flyer does it even mention it was about military accademies.

But again i ahve not seen or heard a Webb ad in my mailbox, tv or on the air.

On a side not ..  the Richmond field office what are the hours for that? I would love to at least slap a sign in my window of my car or a bumpersticker or something. I went by there a week or two ago and there didnt seem to be anyone home.



RE: Richmond Office Hours (JPTERP - 10/5/2006 12:58:27 PM)
John--These details are from J.C. Wilmore's blog at http://richmonddemoc....

Richmond, Virginia -- September 27, 2006

Webb HQ in Richmond
4900 Radford Avenue
Richmond, Virginia 23230
804-440-8840

The Richmond Webb for Senate office is located at 4900 Radford Avenue, at the corner of Radford and Staples Mill Road, near Willow Lawn shopping mall. The phone number is 804-440-8840 and the office is open from 10:00 am to 9:00 pm, Monday through Thursday. Fridays, the office closes at 5:00 pm and Saturday and Sunday hours are from noon to 5:00 pm.

The Webb campaign in Richmond invites you to come by and pick up a yard sign, volunteer to work an event, sign up to phone bank or just come say "hi."



Speaking of Richmond... (phriendlyjaime - 10/5/2006 2:22:10 PM)
if you are in and around Richmond and have nothing to do this weekend (and you DON'T if you are a Webb supporter, your job from now until 11/7/06 is to get Webb elected) then email me at jaimes2cool at yahoo dot com.  (Yes, it looks funny, but I don't want to get spammers - NEVER put your email adress the way it looks in your inbox on a website)

Richmond has no commercials and no mailers. Additonally, Ken C. makes a good point.  From what I have gathered and heard through the grapevine, we are the ONLY battleground state that does NOT have general Democratic ads by the DSCC running on TV.  WHY?  Let's find out.



Thanks Jamie and Post at the DSCC Blog! (Ken C. - 10/5/2006 3:05:31 PM)
Thanks Jamie for echoing my point on the DSCC and lack of TV ads from them. And thanks for picking up on the mailers. I didn't even mention the mailers because the TV non-reaction is so maddening. It really is getting a bit sickening being constantly barraged with this crap from Allen and seeing nothing in response. Everyone should post at the DSCC and ask them just what the hell is going on! 

The campaign should run that excellent reaction ad that is up on the website in Central VA.  The steady “drip-drip” of Allen’s ads is not going unnoticed and they are having at least some effect in this area of the state. I sure hope the “re-action ad” with Gen. Adams-Ender, Christine Gromek, and Petty Officer McPhearson are running somewhere on a regular basis because we damn sure aren’t seeing them down here! 



Others are raising this issue, too (Leaves on the Current - 10/5/2006 2:58:01 PM)
See, for example, this posting from Not George Allen. . . .


Yep, they sure are and with good reason! (Ken C. - 10/5/2006 3:24:30 PM)
I read that post and it's just about "dead on". We've got cash and sitting on it for 2 more weeks may be too late!  This election is way too close to automatically assume we will have a huge advantage with women's votes, especially independents and "moderate Republican women" after the constant barrage from Allen. If there is no reaction soon, as the post you refer to asserts, it may be too late! We should be "locking this thing up", not being forced into fighting for one of our natural group of allies in this campaign.

Let' see some action NOW while Allen is still on the ropes. We should not be in the position of having to fight for women's votes in the last 2-3 weeks. Let's get some action NOW on this front so we can have Allen on the defensive in the closing days. Let's lock up our natural allies (the "re-action ad")and then fire a cruise missile straight into the heart of the "soft Allen" votes.

THE TIME IS NOW! 



I heard last night... (Dan - 10/5/2006 4:25:20 PM)
Webb will be running ads from now until election day in the Northern Virginia market.


GOOD NEWS-IT NEEDS TO BE SPREAD AROUND (Ken C. - 10/5/2006 4:44:46 PM)
Excellent. We can use some help down here too NOW! NOVA is the key and a very expensive market, but if resources are available this fight should be fought on all fronts.  I must have seen that vile Allen ad at least 3 times between getting up and going out the door to work.. Will they be running on that basis in other markets, Hampton Roads, Roanoke, SW, and Central VA?

On a more positive note, I went up to the Valley last weekend by "back roads" and Webb was winning the yard sign war. That's pretty shocking considering the entire trip up there was through the 7th CD District. 



I heard the radio version of Webb's ad twice... (Loudoun County Dem - 10/5/2006 7:29:04 PM)
...on WTOP on the way home tonight...


Are you working? (Bubby - 10/5/2006 9:20:26 PM)
Have you read the Webb policy positions? They're here

Have you read Jim's concise prediction of the Iraq Disaster? It's here

Contacted your local volunteer office? Do Homephone from the comfort of your own home

And if nothing else, and you want to see more TV ads Go here and donate, it takes lots of Jack to get airtime

But whatever you do don't do this:



Doing what time permits-will work Dem attorney "Protect the Vote" project (Ken C. - 10/6/2006 10:11:51 AM)
1. Know Jim's policy positions, in detail, by heart.
2. Aware of Jim's prediction since reading the article at the time. Fan of Jim's since reading Robert Timberg's "The Nightingale's Song" nearly 10 years ago. My wife and I wrote Jim on 1/6/06 to urge him to run. 
3. Ran Central VA phone bank from my office during the primary. Will do calls from home if time permits, given other personal and professional obligations.
4. Wife and I have given about $3,000.00 over the course of the primary and general election cycles.
5. Am not and will not be on couch before or on Election Day. Wife and I have personally "flipped" 5 GOP voters to Jim through info and persuasion, thus far. We have several others "on the ropes"; they are about ready make the switch! 

Thanks for the encouragement, humor, and prodding.  I’m confident it is well intended and made with a positive mind-set. :) Let's all do what we can (contribute $, work directly, work on supportive Democratic Party Projects like protecting the vote, talk to neighbors, etc.)  to win this thing for "Leadership We Can Be Proud Of". We are all doing our "bit" the best we can.

WE WIL PREVAIL; OUR CAUSE IS RIGHTEOUS! 



Want to flip more GOP-ers (VA for IKE - 10/6/2006 2:20:27 PM)
Ken - Good work. As a former GOP-er myself, I wrote this diary some time ago. This might help with your waffling Republican friends:

Five decades ago this November the people of the United States of America resoundingly voted in favor of re-electing President Dwight D. Eisenhower and his conservative Republican ideals. Eisenhower’s platform was so popular that it even carried such traditionally Democratic leaning states as Tennessee and Texas. As a political moderate here in Virginia, I am one who has always been attracted to the theory of government espoused by President Eisenhower and those Republicans who followed in his ideological footsteps. Although I don’t agree with everything the conservative agenda has to offer, I do cherish many of the ideals of the Eisenhower Republican platform, that which embraces smaller government, honesty, individualism, entrepreneurship, fiscal accountability, and a foreign policy based in realism. Republicans now in charge of this country have gotten to where they are today by standing on the backs of giants like Eisenhower and Reagan. I have a sinking feeling that if those men saw what has happened to their party today, they would seriously reconsider their affiliation. I know I am.
Nowhere is this concern more pronounced than in the Senate battle happening right now in my home state of Virginia. The election pits my supposed conservative Republican representative, Senator George Allen, against the more liberal Democrat, Secretary James Webb.

I have supported the likes of George Allen and his fellow Republicans in the past, not because of Allen’s supposed ‘down-home’ appearance (I am not so naïve as to believe that no politician attempts to cultivate an image suitable for his/her constituency) or even for his supposed strength on national security (to question the patriotism and the desire of Democratic leaders to keep our country safe is, to me, reprehensible). No, I have supported George Allen because his party’s ideals and goals aligned with my own. Yet, unfortunately that consistency is no longer evident. Though I do not think that this is a nation-wide phenomenon (men like Senator Chuck Hagel, Senator Lindsey Graham, among others continue to carry the banner of Eisenhower conservatism), I do think that it comes as a result of a furiously partisan political climate that has been ushered into existence by a Bush administration that sows fear and discord in order to win elections.

What this administration has failed to recognize is that winning elections is not the goal of politics. Governing is. And in order to govern effectively, a political party needs to stick to its platform, its goals, and its ideals. One who truly wishes to govern cannot do so by sacrificing those principles in order to simply win elections. To me, the Bush administration and the Republican party of George Allen have done just that.

The proof of this sacrifice is evidenced by the country’s current situation: the national debt has ballooned out of control, calls for ‘small government’ have been replaced by pork spending earmarks whose numbers have almost quadrupled since 2000, border security and ethics reform have been completely hijacked by political partisanship, the country is engaged in a conflict in Iraq which has undermined our War on Terror, and a foreign policy of realism and stability has been replaced by an overly pretentious desire to instill our own worldview on other peoples and cultures. This isn’t the Republican party of Eisenhower. This is nothing but a hollow shell of the conservatism of the past, a party masquerading as a progeny of the system and ideology that propelled it into power in the first place.

What once stood for fiscal accountability, the ethical high ground, smaller government, and a realistic foreign policy, the Republican Party has truly lost its way. Fifty years after President Eisenhower won re-election and the hearts of the American people by an overwhelming margin, the Republican ideal is gone, and I am beginning to understand why Jim Webb left this party half a decade ago. I think I’ll follow him.



Your Diary was Outstanding and "on point" (Ken C. - 10/6/2006 4:37:17 PM)
I read your diary when it was first posted and found myself so in agreement with many of your points (having been raised in a GOP house, but rarely voting GOP once I was old enough to vote) it was striking.  Your points are based on rational thought and love of country. I was heartened to hear from an ex-GOPer with real integrity and honor. It was outstanding in content and well written.

I was already using many of the points you brought forward quite successfully.  Those points work well with old-line GOP's, but I find they do not work well with the "Kool-Aid" drinking crowd.  There's not much we can do for that bunch. The only thing that will change them is if the disgrace that is most of today's GOP somehow strikes them at home, literally, to shake them out of their AM "Hate Radio", "Bill O.", frenzy.  If they would put country before party, they would see the light. Sadly, for many it will probably take a personal loss resulting from the policies of and the darkness that is the Bush-Cheney-Allen-Rove era to ever get them to change. Yet, there are still GOPers left with honor and integrity and I believe many are leaving their once reasonably honorable party for higher ground.

IF IKE, “T.R.”, OR “HONEST ABE” WERE ALIVE TODAY, I SUSPECT ALL 3 WOULD BE DEMOCRATS CAMPAIGNING FOR JIM WEBB.  I DO NOT THINK ANY OF THOSE GREAT MEN WOULD RECOGNIZE NOR WANT TO BE PART OF TODAY'S “ROVIAN GOP", WHERE PARTY COMES BEFORE COUNTRY.