More Trouble for Republican Congressional Incumbents (w/ poll)

By: Corey
Published On: 4/25/2006 11:31:14 AM

James Carville and Stanley Greenberg's Democracy Corps has a new poll out showing Democratic incumbents in a much stronger position than their Republican counterparts.  The poll "uses the actual candidate names in each congressional race (and generic language in cases where there is no clear nominee), providing a level of specificity lacking from any other national measure of the congressional contest

* In contests where a Democratic incumbent is running for re-election (199 House seats in this database), the Democratic candidates enjoy a 26-point advantage and claim a strong majority of the votes (57 to 31 percent)
* In open seats with no incumbent running in this cycle (20 House seats), the Democratic advantage is even higher -- a remarkable 63 to 28 percent
* Most importantly, in races where a Republican incumbent is running for re-election (217 House seats), the Republican candidate leads by just 4 points (42 to 46 percent) and fails to claim majority support -- a sharp contrast from the strong position of Democratic incumbents.

Very good news for Al Weed/Bern Ewert, Judy Feder, Phil Kellam, Andy Hurst/Ken Longmeyer, Martin Dudziak and Shawn O'Donnell.

Hat tip to politicalwire.com

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