OBAMA IS AHEAD - OFFICIALLY

By: teacherken
Published On: 11/4/2008 1:21:54 AM

The results are in for Dixville Notch, and Obama won, 15-6.  

To put this in context, here are some previous general election results:

1960 Nixon 9   Kennedy 0
1984 Reagan 29  Mondale 1
1988 Bush 34  Dukakis 3  Kemp 1
1992 Bush 15   Perot 8  Marrou 5  Clinton 2
1996  Dole 18  Clinton 8  Perot 1  Browne 1
2000  Bush 21   Gore 5  Nader 1
2004  Bush 19   Kerry 7
2008  Obama 15  McCain 6

We are ahead!

Comments



Booyah! (brownguy - 11/4/2008 1:34:01 AM)
Let's hope other traditionally Republican-leaning areas of the country follow suit.  A great and promising start, even if it is only 15 votes.


Nate Silver: Is Dixville Notch Predictive? (Lowell - 11/4/2008 6:16:26 AM)
In a word: No. There's no historical relationship between the performances of the two major-party candidates In Dixville Notch and their performances in the rest of New Hampshire -- never mind the rest of the country:

Source: 538



it tends to be even more conservative (teacherken - 11/4/2008 7:53:36 AM)
and republican than the state of NH.  Last time it was dem was in 1968.

But it is interesting to see how overwhelmingly it went for Obama, and I find that an interesting data point.

And since the first state to be called will probably be KY for McCain, as soon as last polls close at 7 PM, I wanted to enjoy the sense of an early lead for at least a few hours

:-)