A Brief Diversion: Latest News on 2009

By: Lowell
Published On: 9/25/2008 8:18:47 PM

I don't want to get sidetracked away from the elections on November 4, which are crucially important to the future of our country.  However, I noticed a number of items pertaining to Virginia 2009 contests that I thought were worth noting.

1. Tim Craig writes that "McAuliffe Muddles 09 Race." According to Craig, "a McAuliffe bid would send a signal that the Virginia Democratic Party is maturing."  An interesting point.  Craig also writes that "Deeds would probably be the early front-runner in a three-way race for governor," because Moran and McAuliffe could wind up "potentially splitting the vote" in Northern Virginia, where they both live.

2. Chris Cillizza weighs in about a possible McAuliffe candidacy (Cillizza calls him "The Macker"), wondering "whether McAuliffe can recreate the hybrid appeal of Warner -- equally able to sell himself to northern Virginia liberals and southwestern Virginia conservatives."  Cillizza adds that McAuliffe could "raise massive amounts of money to finance his bid, well in excess of what either Deeds or Moran -- and maybe both of them together -- can collect."

3. Terry McAuliffe is busy campaigning in Virginia for Barack Obama.  For video of McAuliffe's speech to Chesterfield County high school students yesterday, click here.

4. Over at NLS, "Not Gretchen Bulova" reports that Jody Wagner's "original plan was to enter the [LG] race in December, after the budget was taken care of, but that her hand was forced when her opponent started running months ago."  NGB also reports that Wagner "referred to Jon Bowerbank as someone who had just 'inherited a bunch of money.'" On the latter point, I know Jon very well, am consulting to his campaign, and talk to him all the time. I can categorically state that this is NOT true - Bowerbank did not "inherit a bunch of money." To the contrary, Bowerbank earned it through education, hard work, and starting and running his own successful business. Period.  On the first point, I find it fascinating that Wagner claims "her hand was forced" by Bowerbank.  If this is true, Wagner would appear to be very worried about Bowerbank's candidacy, certainly giving it a great deal of power over her. If this is not true, one other possible explanation could be that this is just a smokescreen, and that Wagner REALLY resigned early as Finance Secretary because she knew the horrendous budget deficit numbers ($2 billion? $3 billion) coming down the pike, and decided to skedaddle before the manure hit the fan. Either way, though, there's no truth to the "inherited a bunch of money" comment.

UPDATE: I just saw this at nvdaily.com.  

Del. Brian Moran, D-Alexandria, told a crowd of 150 Shenandoah County Democrats on Thursday that Virginia is in play in 2008, rallying the troops for the last push toward Election Day.

[...]

A three-way race "doesn't change any calculus for me," Moran said.

"I've been very proud of my legislative record, and my record of getting Democrats elected," he said.

"Terry will have to compare his record here in Virginia with mine and Creigh Deeds'," he said. "I don't think it compares favorably."

Terry McAuliffe entering the race "doesn't change any calculus?"  Something tells me, no matter what else happens, THAT won't be the case. :)


Comments



The primary and money (aznew - 9/25/2008 8:36:06 PM)
Even if McAuliffe could outraise Deeds and Moran together, I don't think it will matter, because both Deeds and Moran will each raise enough -- well in excess of $1.5 million -- to run a statewide primary campaign.

Notwithstanding the famous aphorism of Mark Hanna, at some point more money loses meaning.

Also, regarding this statement:

"a McAuliffe bid would send a signal that the Virginia Democratic Party is maturing."  

I have to confess, I have no idea what the Hell this means.

Both Brian Moran and Creigh Deeds are intelligent, accomplished people who have worked hard and done a lot of good for the people of this state. Is Craig trying to say that now that Virginia is turning purple, we'll be seeing more carpetbaggers? How is this a sign of maturity?  



can you elaborate (jasonVA - 9/25/2008 9:00:03 PM)
Thanks for posting this item.  

I have a good opinion of both Moran and McAullife.  Most important to me would be the man who is more likely to be able to win.  

Would you care to post pros/cons of either them running for governor of VA next year?



Lowell........... (Flipper - 9/25/2008 9:14:50 PM)
rumor has it that you are going to be hired by the McAuliffe campaign.  Is this true?  If so, in what capacity?  


I'm not going to discuss rumors... (Lowell - 9/25/2008 10:12:27 PM)
...but I WILL say that, based on everything I've seen and read, I'm very impressed (or maybe I should use the word Tim Kaine used, "intrigued?") with Terry McAuliffe and believe he would be a very strong Democratic gubernatorial candidate in 2009.  My top political goal for next year in Virginia is to make sure Democrats hold the governor's mansion and certainly to make sure that "Taliban Bob" gets nowhere near it. My second top political goal for next year in Virginia is to see Democrats win the LG (I'm consulting to Jon Bowerbank, as you know) and AG races.  My final top political goal in Virginia for next year is for Democrats to take back the House of Delegates.  I will strongly support the Democrats who I believe have the highest likelihood of accomplishing both those goals.


Interesting discussion on "Morning Joe" (Lowell - 9/25/2008 10:15:46 PM)
with Terry McAuliffe and Chuck Todd, among others.



I know you're consulting for Bowerbank but... (Lawyer Mama - 9/26/2008 1:17:30 AM)
...do we have to start the Democrats attacking Democrats stuff already?  It only serves to help the Repubs out during the general election.  After this year's contentious presidential primary, I'm just done with that.


What do you mean "do we have to (Lowell - 9/26/2008 5:42:00 AM)
start the Democrats attacking...?"  In this diary, I was simply RESPONDING to comments reportedly made by Jody Wagner about why she got in the race and also the supposed source of Jon Bowerbank's wealth.  It's important not to let stuff like this stay out there unchallenged when it's factually incorrect. Personally, I find it sad that Jody Wagner would have said what she said about how Jon earned his money, and in general that she would start attacking Jon before the November 4, 2008 election is even held!


One other point. (Lowell - 9/26/2008 5:43:58 AM)
Politics is definitely a contact sport; if you let the other side hit you and don't respond, they're just going to keep hitting you.  Example #1: John Kerry and the Swift Boaters in 2004.  Obama's doing an infinitely better job this year in responding to Republican attacks and in going on the offensive against the Republicans. That's a good thing.