McCain faces reality and buys more air time in Virginia

By: Rob
Published On: 8/29/2008 10:34:04 PM

TPM reports that the GOP has had to face reality and reserve air time for the week beginning on September 1 in Norfolk, Richmond, Roanoke, Tri Cities, Harrisonburg, Charlottesville.  

The expansion is significant, because it suggests that the McCain team is less confident in its chances in Virginia and North Carolina than it once was. Obama is advertising statewide in both places. More broadly, the expanded buy suggests that the McCain team is being forced by Obama's wider advertising map to play on a broader playing field than it had hoped to.

Forcing more defense from McCain is nice, but let's play to win, Virginia Democrats!  

Anyway, any thoughts on the locales that are being targeted?  C'ville surprised me.  And I know McCain is already up in Northern Virginia -- I guess they feel confident about their airtime there ... or maybe the opposite?


Comments



heh heh heh (Pain - 8/29/2008 10:44:15 PM)

I've given as much as I can, and I intend to give more!  Let John McSurge try to hold back the freight train using a pop-cicle stick cross.

Give money everywhere, and let them try to play wackamole!



The C-ville market buy . . . (JPTERP - 8/29/2008 10:52:22 PM)
is less about the city of Charlottesville and more about the areas outside of Charlottesville that fall within the Charlottesville market.  e.g. the broadcast stations are in Charlottesville, but their reach goes beyond the city limits.

It's interesting too that McCain is focusing resources outside of Northern VA -- which is the most expensive media market.  The ads that he's been running on cable may be part of national ad buys.  Not sure if the Olympic ads were a national buy or local.



Mccain locking it up (Indy4all - 8/30/2008 12:26:36 AM)
Mccain want to lock of the Huckabee vote from the Primary and I guess Palin will help him with that. McCain will hands down take the 7th (thats Eric Cantor's District) and will not need to spend funds in Richmond area since he will get that vote and knows the City vote is a loss based on the Obama turnout in the Primary. Roanoke, Lynchburg, Danville, Blaksburg, outside Bristol area will go for Mccain-Palin and maybe they are betting they can offset NOVA losses--fatal stategy I think.


Agreed. (JPTERP - 8/30/2008 1:33:51 AM)
I think the Palin selection will go a long way toward shoring up the Huckabee, evangelical support.  I think McCain probably still loses the population centers along the 81 corridor -- e.g. Roanoke City, Harrisonburg, Blacksburg -- but it should help McCain in a number of areas.  

On the other hand, the net effect of the pick though could be even more negative for him in northern Virginia.  Part of McCain's appeal in the past has been this perception that he is a political moderate.  That's been one of the ways that the remaining Republicans in the region have held onto their seats.  The Palin pick pretty much puts the lie to that perception.  Statewide, it'll be a close one regardless.  

Wouldn't be surprised to see the votes being counted into the late, late morning the day after the election.



McCain VP (South County - 8/29/2008 11:47:29 PM)
I think he really made a big mistake here.  The VP selection is one of the biggest, if not the biggest, demonstration of judgment during the campaign.  To date, McCain's biggest asset was his experience, and Obama's biggest weakness is his lack of experience.  With this pick, McCain totally took experience off the table.  If you're not ready to be President after 4 years in the Senate (including serving on the Foreign Relations Committee), how can you be ready after a year and 9 months as Governor of a tiny state?  One of the biggest concerns  with McCain is his age, again he didn't mitagate any concerns by picking a political neophyte who is not ready.  Had someone like Lindsey Graham been picked, voters could at least say, I like McCain and I'm concerned that Obama's not ready, but at least if something happened to McCain you'd have an experienced guy ready to take over.  But that scenario is out the window now.  We're talking about being one heartbeat away from being commander in chief during wartime.

Plus, being "Commander in Chief" of the Alaska National Guard does not make you qualified to be commander in chief.  Calling out the guard to put out forest fires once a year is nothing.  Governors have no say in operational decisions such as overseas deployments, that's all handled by the Pentagon.  The Alaska Army National Guard has only about 1,850 troops.  A very small number when you consider that our ten Army divisions have about 10,000 soldiers each.  Each division is comprised of about 4 brigades.  Thus, we have over 40 Colonels in the Army who serve as brigade commanders over 2,000 troops each.



I love this game (Indy4all - 8/30/2008 12:22:10 AM)
All day long we have been given a large dose of the"what-if" something happens based on McCain's age. I think its very ironic that based on recent events Barack is more likely to have something happen. Think about this; Tupper-Jones (58) Tim Russert (50's) and Bernie Mac (50's) all within the last weeks. We have so many issues to solve and we are worried about a could be President dieing of natural causes or medical conditions; refresh my memory but I think FDR was the last one right? No one is implying that if Mccain wins a Kennedy scenario is possible are they? I hope not. The heartbeat arguement is always so amusing given the fact how few times it has come to pass in our nations history. The VP selection does not increase or decrease a Presidents chances of death in office but htis game is fun.


The percentages are what they are . . . (JPTERP - 8/30/2008 1:35:40 AM)
The older a person gets, the greater the risks are.

The big difference here is that Obama put many of those concerns to rest with his choice of Biden.  Not so sure that Palin will have the same effect.



give it up , Mccain (pvogel - 8/30/2008 12:17:06 AM)
As a milatary guy, you should realize when its a loss and your just waisting money.