The Media's Presidential Point Spread

By: TheGreenMiles
Published On: 8/8/2008 11:32:02 AM

Barack Obama has beaten John McCain in the vast majority of polls since Obama became the Democratic nominee for president. Even before that, both Hillary  Clinton and Obama were beating McCain; the big bone of contentions between supporters of the two Dems was by how much they were beating McCain.  

So the storyline should go something like this: Even though he's been running for president for an amazing 10 years straight, McCain is already behind Obama, who voters are still getting to know. Voters aren't going to suddenly discover something new to like about McCain, so McCain knows his only shot is to bring Obama down to his level by driving up Obama's negatives. Especially with his literal embrace of President Bush, McCain is practically the incumbent here. McCain is behind and not built for a comeback.  

But the media's storyline instead has been "Why isn't Obama winning by more?" It's as if Obama's consistent lead over McCain for most of the last year doesn't even exist. In fact, some coverage goes so far as to imply Obama is losing. As TPM points out, the New York Times' Katharine Seelye today inexplicably claims, "Mr. Obama is struggling in the polls to maintain parity with Senator John McCain."  

Is the media creating a point spread for Obama? In effect, saying Obama has to be up on McCain by a certain margin or he will be, in the eyes of the media, losing? Is it part of the media more broadly grading McCain on a curve on his repeated mistakes and gilded background?



Comments



Grading on a curve (Teddy - 8/8/2008 5:13:52 PM)
by a soft prof for one candidate, and biased grading for the other candidate by a tough prof who never gives an "A" is exactly the way it sounds. Do not ignore the obvious probability that the bosses of the professors have let their employees know they want one candidate to graduate and the other to fail, and they are becoming increasingly desperate to ensure this outcome. You did not imagine the corporate media was actually doing any straight reporting, did you?

There is also the entertainment component: presenting the "narrative" as a tight horse race with breathless examination of one candidate's every utterance and every move, based on the latest talking points and framing done by the other candidate's handlers, keeps the lumpken voter glued to the broadcast, and makes the job of the so-called reporter easier, who no longer exerts himself to do any investigative reporting; he just report the stats as he fantasizes them, including home runs, RBIs, errors, just like a baseball game. Sure saves effort.



Pro-Republican or Pro-Profit? (jlmccreery - 8/8/2008 5:56:52 PM)
The two are not mutually exclusive. But as a guy who works in and around the advertising industry, I can't help noticing that a close race attracts eyeballs and more eyeballs equal more revenue for the networks. There is no good business reason to report that Obama is maintaining a steady lead and a very good reason, indeed, to hype McCain's chances of making a comeback.


Profits uber alles (Teddy - 8/9/2008 11:25:54 AM)
I agree, but there is something else going on as well: Charles Peters in "Washington Monthly" mentioned how he noticed reporters breathlessly hyping the point spread's diminishing between Obama and Clinton prior to the primaries in Texas, Ohio, and Pennsyvlania, and compared it to the reporter in the movie Ace in the Hole who discovered a miner trapped in a mine, knew how to get him out safely, and concealed the knowledge in order to hype the story for weeks. Another writer has also pointed out the same phenomenum, adding that, by the time the Oregon primary arrived, the relentless horse-race reporting suddenly died down, and he figured out the reason: reporters were taking their families on vacation, and did not want to be yanked away from that pleasure in order to cover an ongoing, boring nothing of a "story" that had been artificially enlarged.