Tom Davis: Leslie Byrne Would Have Beaten Him; Obama Will Win

By: Lowell
Published On: 8/5/2008 7:17:45 PM

I got this story from a gold-standard source. In his waning months in office, Tom Davis apparently feels that he can speak freely. One thing he's saying is that Gerry Connolly wouldn't have run against him, and that Leslie Byrne would have beaten him.  So much for the whole "Leslie the Loser" thing, at least as far as Tom Davis is concerned...

In other news, Davis apparently intends to resign from Congress on November 1, three days before the election. I'm not sure why this is the case; does anyone know if it frees him up earlier for consulting gigs or something?  Also, I don't believe that the winner of the election can be sworn in early; any thoughts on that subject?

Speaking of the election, Davis apparently believes that Barack Obama's going to win the White House. True, that's not exactly a shocker, but Tom Davis is generally well respected as a political analyst, plus he's a Republican, so I thought it was interesting.


Comments



Yeah Tom Davis never chugged the kool-aid (Annie - 8/5/2008 7:40:40 PM)
Sure he's made a fortune cozying up to defense contractors and sold out his constituents to earn favors from the wingnuts of his party but at the end of the day he was more of a Rockefeller Republican -- his heart was not in Tom Delay wing of the party.

Tom was right -- he was going to lose so it made sense to get out while the getting was good. I do think he saw the handwriting on the wall back in the summer of 2007 when canvassing for his wife's ill-fated reelection effort.

He was canvassing my neighborhood and was quite chatty towards us knowing our household was solidly Democratic.  We told him point blank that we were 100 percent for Chap because the GOP was so bankrupt that no moderate GOP no matter how liberal would win our vote as that meant our state senator would be caucusing with the wingnuts from downstate.



There would have to be a special election to be sworn in early (Johnny Longtorso - 8/5/2008 8:18:12 PM)
Since the general election is for the term beginning in January. I doubt that they'd go through the trouble of setting up a Donna Edwards-style special election (assuming that would even be possible, I don't know how Virginia election law handles announced-but-pending retirements) in order to fill Davis' seat for a couple lame-duck months.


might be nothing to be sworn in for (teacherken - 8/5/2008 8:30:06 PM)
my understanding is that Pelosi and Hoyer have promised Dem members that they will adjourn sine die on Sept 26, that they have no intention of returning for a lame duck session.

Of course, Bush has the power to call them into session.  And perhaps they should consider the damage he can do in the 2+ months remaining of his term, starting with attacking Iran.



Alternate Explination? (Tyler Durden - 8/6/2008 12:10:59 AM)
Gold standard source? NLS?

In the unlikely event this is true... And overlooking obvious problems... (Insert Leslie opp-research here)

Perhaps Rep. Davis is attempting to rile up the netroots / reignite the fire against Mr. Connolly to benefit his Republican successor Keith Fimian...

Lets think a little bit deeper about Mr. Davis' motivation and get a better answer about this 'golden' source...

Ellerby: Qui Bono, who benefits?
Colin Sullivan: Qui gives a shit. It's got a freakin' bow on it.
-The Departed



You can believe it or not (Lowell - 8/6/2008 5:48:36 AM)
I can't reveal my source, but it's a good one.  Anyway, this sounds like vintage Tom Davis to me.


How funny... (suzden - 8/8/2008 11:11:50 PM)
One thing you can be sure of is that Tom Davis NEVER said that he was afraid of Leslie Byrne or that he knew she would beat him.

At the time Rep. Davis made his decision to retire after almost 30 years of public service, reliable polling showed him up almost 30 points over Leslie Byrne. He would never have let her represent the people of the 11th district.  We deserve better than her and Rep. Davis knew that Gerry Connolly would be able to slam Leslie Byrne. He would have done anything to keep her out of Congress.

Remember - he won this seat from her and has never, ever feared that she would beat him since that time.  As a matter of fact, Leslie would have been the perfect opponent for Rep. Davis.  He would have trounced her.

Lowell, I don't know where you heard this stuff but it was not from Tom Davis.  He wasn't even in the area when you posted this. I love the use of the word "apparently" in this post.

Any golden source you think you have in the Davis camp is unreliable in this matter. You did not hear this information from Rep. Davis.



Let it go (JMU Duke - 8/6/2008 9:05:16 AM)
I think Lowell's intention was more to discuss Tom's realization about his district rather than reignite the fires of inta-party rancor. Gerry probably would have beaten Tom too if he'd run, but we'll never know.

It seems that the Denneny folks are the ones having the hardest time getting over all of this. Take a valium and go find another no-name candidate to work for :)  



Actually, my "intention" was simply (Lowell - 8/6/2008 9:49:05 AM)
to report on what Tom Davis had to say, which I find newsworthy.  Period.


Low Blows from Leslie's Losers (Tyler Durden - 8/7/2008 4:32:20 PM)
No surprise here... There will be plenty of time to discuss the 11th CD primary after the election in November


This was from Tom Davis (Lowell - 8/7/2008 4:54:12 PM)
not from any Leslie Byrne supporter.  


Comment was for to 'JMU Duke' (Tyler Durden - 8/12/2008 2:38:30 AM)

Take a valium and go find another no-name candidate to work for :)  

Its a disgusting to see someone I once considered a friend saying something like this. Its sad that some people cant have an honest or interesting debate w/o personal attacks. Seems to be a pattern among those who support certain candidates...

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