"It shows that they're worried about Virginia"

By: Lowell
Published On: 7/3/2008 7:45:16 AM

This is great to see:

Here's a sign that the McCain campaign could be worried that Obama has a real chance of winning in Virginia, a state that's historically voted red but has been trending blue.

The McCain camp has bought up ad time for a sixty-second spot in at least four major Virginia media markets, a Democratic ad buyer tells me. The markets: Norfolk, Richmond, Roanoke, and Tri-Cities.

[...]

"It shows they're worried about Virginia," the buyer said.

Good, let's keep 'em worried.  Last night at the Arlington County Democratic Committee meeting, I heard things that certainly should do that, like Arlington's strategy for getting 80% turnout this November and 80% of that for Obama.  As ACDC chair Peter Rousellot explained on June 8, that would result in a 63,000 vote margin coming out of Arlington in 2008, compared to a 32,755 margin for Kerry/Edwards over Bush/Cheney in 2004.  [To put this in perspective, Bush/Cheney won Virginia in 2004 by 262,000 votes total]  Add in a possible 100,000-vote margin in Fairfax (Webb won Fairfax by 65,000 votes in 2006 with just 55% voter turnout), plus large margins in Richmond, Alexandria, Norfolk, Charlottesville, Albemarle, Hampton City, Newport News, Portsmouth City, and Henrico County, and you can see a path to victory for Barack Obama taking shape. No wonder why John McCain is worried.


Comments



If Rasmussen is to be believed (uva08 - 7/3/2008 8:43:09 AM)
Virginia isn't the only red state he needs to worry about.  Obama is leading McCain in Montana according to their recent poll.  Yes, MONTANA!

http://rasmussenreports.com/pu...

If he can pull of a victory in Montana, then Virginia is definitely doable.  I like those numbers you came with for NOVA.  I personally think we can come up with a 15,000-20,000 margin here in Charlottesville-Albemarle.



Obama's in ND today (The Grey Havens - 7/3/2008 11:45:04 AM)
It hasn't been polled in ages.  Like VA, it hasn't voted Dem since LBJ.  Still, Obama's visit to ND today clearly indicates that there's no place Obama can't compete.

50 state is 50 state!



Fargo rocks (vatechhokies50 - 7/3/2008 9:36:00 PM)
I'm from North Dakota, Grey Havens (yet, I'm a Virginia Tech Graduate Alumni... lol)... anyway, they limited the session to about 1500 attendees, but had about 10,000 - 15,000 people that were interested.

Oh yes, I'm one day late, but please make sure you have a reflective, "Bring'em on, Day!!"

http://thinkprogress.org/2008/...