Obama Leading in FL, OH, PA

By: Flipper
Published On: 6/18/2008 8:16:42 AM

Quinnipiac is out with three new swing state polls, taken June 9-16, 2008.  And for the first time, they show Obama leading in all three states,  a signnificant improvement over pollls released in May, 2008:

Quinnipiac's monthly swing state polling is out (June 9-16) showing significant improvement for Obama in FL, OH, and PA versus last month's poll. Obama now leads McCain in all three states:

Florida (1,453 LV, MoE +/-2.6%)
Obama 47
McCain 43
Undecided 8

Highlights: Obama winning I's by 10 (47-37). Obama winning black vote 95-4, McCain winning white vote 50-40. Obama winning women by 10 (50-40), McCain winning men by 3 (47-44). Lastly, 71% of those who voted for Clinton in the '08 primary indicated they will vote for Obama, while 19% say they will vote for McCain.

Overall, McCain leads by 5.7% in the RCP Average for Florida. Florida "Leans McCain" in the RCP Electoral Count.

Ohio (1,396 LV, MoE +/-2.6%)
Obama 48
McCain 42
Undecided 7

Highlights: McCain +2 with Independents, +1 with men, +3 with whites. Obama +12 with women, winning black vote 90-6. 63% of Clinton primary voters will vote for Obama, one out of four will vote McCain.

Overall, Obama leads McCain by 6.2% in the RCP Average for Ohio. Ohio is now in the "Lean Obama" category in the RCP Electoral Count.

Pennsylvania (1,511 LV, MoE +/- 2.5%)
Obama 52
McCain 40
Undecided 7

Highlights: Obama wins I's by 11 points (50-39), women by 23 (57-34), whites by 3 (47-44), and blacks 95-1. McCain wins men by 2 (47-45) and that's pretty much it. 66% of Clinton primary voters will vote for Obama, 24% will vote McCain.

Overall, Obama leads by 7.3% in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania. PA "Leans Obama" category in the RCP Electoral Count.

Obama wins independents in Florida (+10), and in Pennsylvania (+11), but McCain narrowly wins them in Ohio (+2).

Obama wins women in Florida (+10), Ohio (+12), and in Pennsylvania (+23).

Obama carries black voters overwhelmingly in Florida (95-4), Ohio (90-6), and in Pennsylvania (95-1)!  

We're rockin!

http://time-blog.com/real_clea...

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