How Much Oil and Natural Gas is Off Our Coast?

By: Lowell
Published On: 5/27/2008 11:29:30 AM

There's a lot of misinformation out there about how much oil and gas might be off our coastline, and how much of a difference this might make in terms of our energy supplies, prices, etc.  Based on 17 years of working at the Energy Department, my understanding all along has been that there's not a great deal of oil and natural gas off the U.S. east coast, let alone off Virginia's coast, certainly not by world standards and certainly not sufficient to make much of a difference in the big picture.

Still, I wanted to be sure, so I checked with one of the top oil and gas experts at the US Energy Information Administration.  Here's the response (bolding added by me for emphasis):

A total of ten oil and gas lease sales were held in the Atlantic in 1976 and 1983. Forty-seven exploratory wells were drilled. Five of these wells drilled offshore New Jersey discovered hydrocarbons in non-commercial quantity and were abandoned.

In its most recent assessment (1995) the United States Geological Survey assigned no undiscovered technically recoverable oil or gas resources to State-jurisdiction waters of the Atlantic Ocean.

In a July 2006 addendum to its 2006 Federal Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) assessment, the Minerals Management Service (MMS) assigned mean undiscovered technically recoverable resources of 1.5 billion barrels of oil and 15.13 trillion cubic feet of gas to the MMS Mid-Atlantic Planning Area (located off Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, and North Carolina) portion of the Atlantic OCS.

There are large gas hydrate deposits along the continental slope and rise offshore of Virginia but it will be quite a while before any of it becomes technically, much less economically, producible -- if ever. Its not included in the estimates above.    

Just to reiterate: "the United States Geological Survey assigned no undiscovered technically recoverable oil or gas resources to State-jurisdiction waters of the Atlantic Ocean."

With regard to the MMS' "1.5 billion barrels of undiscovered technically recoverable oil and 15.13 trillion cubic feet of gas" in the mid-Atlantic region, that potentially, hypothetically represents about 7% of proven U.S. oil reserves and about 5% of proven U.S. natural gas reserves. However, note that the MMS figures are not "proven," but the much sketchier category of "assigned mean undiscovered technically recoverable resources."  In plain English, we don't know for sure if that oil and gas is out there and we don't know if it's economically worth recovering. Probably not.

One other point: total U.S. oil and natural gas reserves make up only a tiny percentage of world oil (under 2%) and natural gas (3%) reserves. The undiscovered oil and natural gas off Virginia's coast constitutes a small-to-tiny percentage of a small percentage (U.S. reserves) of total world oil and gas reserves. And, so far, there's been almost no success in finding oil and gas off the east coast. In other words, this discussion is barely worth having; the bottom line is that oil and natural gas reserves off Virginia's coast are almost certainly not significant from an economic or national security point of view.


Comments



Bottom Line: (Teddy - 5/27/2008 12:02:46 PM)
No reason to remove restrictions on drilling off Virginia's shores... especially when we remember any rigs in the area would interfere with US Navy movements, training, firing ranges, etc., as I understand it. So, why all the petulant whining from our petro-president about drilling off shore?

IS there, by the way, any possibility of tidal turbines in the area?  



Not sure about the tidal turbines (Lowell - 5/27/2008 12:34:11 PM)
but I don't see why not.


Florida. (Jack Landers - 5/28/2008 10:14:24 AM)
I've never heard Bush whine about drilling off-shore of Virginia specifically. I think that there's probably more interest in drilling off-shore around Florida.


I am curious as to why then (Alter of Freedom - 5/27/2008 12:35:31 PM)
Last summer there was a bill before the Senate to:

"Vote to pass an amendment that would allow the Governor of Virginia to petition Secretary of Interior to allow for natural gas and drilling exploration and extraction at least 50 miles from the coatal zone"

Sen Amdt 1566 to S Amdt 1502 to HR6
6/14/07 (Record Vote Number 212)

Rejected 43-44  

This bill was sponsored by John Warner (R) and was endorsed by Jime Webb (D) both from Virginia. I called Webb's office to confirm this vote.

Why would there have been a bill to permit the authorization to drill for natural gas in the first place if there were no studies to support the proposition. I am not challenging what is represented here in this post but what was presented to justify this bill before the Senate.

Note: had this bill not been brought to the floor at the time it was when many Senators were out on the campaign trail I am curious as to what the result may have been. It was rejected by one vote but many like Clinton, McCain, Obama, Dodd, and Biden missed the vote.



I believe the idea (Lowell - 5/27/2008 12:42:42 PM)
was to search more thoroughly and see what exactly - if anything - is out there.


Where to drill??? (OaktonResident - 5/27/2008 2:36:25 PM)
I thought that the primary areas for new oil drilling were off California, Florida and Alaska.  

I thought that wind turbines were being considered for off the coast of Massachusetts and Delmarva peninsula.  



The oil companies would like to (Lowell - 5/27/2008 4:47:07 PM)
drill everywhere, probably your back yard if you let 'em. But certainly Alaska and Florida are prime targets for Bil Oil, and the east coast just for the heck of it I guess.

As far as offshore wind turbines are concerned, they are being considered in a number of places.



You're kidding me... (elevandoski - 5/27/2008 9:37:42 PM)
Thelma Drake told me that this offshore drilling was going to solve our transportation crisis in Virginia.  I don't understand.  How can she promise that when in reality there isn't any oil off Virginia's shore?  


Arctic? (Jack Landers - 5/28/2008 10:16:13 AM)
What's your opinion on potential reserves in the Arctic? I mean other than ANWAR. Some of these new areas that are being opened up by melting ice. Anything much that could be significant to the US on a macroeconomic scale?