Clinton wins PA but falls short (poll)

By: True Blue
Published On: 4/23/2008 12:19:07 PM

Yesterday was Hillary Clinton's last best chance to catch up to Barack Obama, and she fell short.

Depending on who you ask (CNN or the Secretary of State of Pennsylvania) Clinton's margin of victory is somewhere between 8.51% and 9.39%.  Clinton spin doctors and some media commentators have been doing some creative rounding in order to award Clinton the "double-digit victory" she needed, but did not earn.  That does not change the fact that Clinton failed to rack up the numbers she needed to even begin catching up to Barack Obama.

The "double-digit" goal was a phony goal in any case.  To realistically have a chance of catching Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton needed to get roughly 63% of the vote in yesterday's contest (a roughly 26% margin of victory).  Clinton's 8.51% to 9.39% was nowhere near what she actually needed.

Pennsylvania, with its 158 pledged (i.e. elected) delegates, was the last so-called "large state" on the primary/caucus schedule.  There is only one state remaining on the primary/caucus calendar with more than 100 pledged delegates up for grabs--North Carolina with 115 delegates--and Barack Obama is on track to win North Carolina with a margin of victory of 15-20%, effectively erasing whatever Clinton gained yesterday, both in terms of delegates and popular vote.

Sadly for Democrats, the only real winner in yesterday's contest was John McCain.  As the Democratic contest is stretched out further, more bad blood is generated between the supporters of Obama and Clinton.  Unfortunately, it may be that the process has progressed beyond the point where leadership can heal the wounds that are being generated every day.  The Democratic Party's elected leaders and super delegates should have acted to end the process before it became a blood feud.  June may very well be too late.

Cross posted at Raising Kaine and Daily Kos.
The "double-digit" goal was a phony goal in any case.  To realistically have a chance of catching Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton needed to get roughly 63% of the vote in yesterday's contest (a roughly 26% margin of victory).  Clinton's 8.51% to 9.39% was nowhere near what she actually needed.

Pennsylvania, with its 158 pledged (i.e. elected) delegates, was the last so-called "large state" on the primary/caucus schedule.  There is only one state remaining on the primary/caucus calendar with more than 100 pledged delegates up for grabs--North Carolina with 115 delegates--and Barack Obama is on track to win North Carolina with a margin of victory of 15-20%, effectively erasing whatever Clinton gained yesterday, both in terms of delegates and popular vote.

Sadly for Democrats, the only real winner in yesterday's contest was John McCain.  As the Democratic contest is stretched out further, more bad blood is generated between the supporters of Obama and Clinton.  Unfortunately, it may be that the process has progressed beyond the point where leadership can heal the wounds that are being generated every day.  The Democratic Party's elected leaders and super delegates should have acted to end the process before it became a blood feud.  June may very well be too late.

Cross posted from The Richmond Democrat.


Comments



Realisticly, it is all about Hillary now (Hugo Estrada - 4/24/2008 12:33:05 AM)
Hillary has lost, and she knows it. She can either leave with dignity by working to unite the party, or she can poison her supporters to the point that they won't vote for Obama in November.

After the high strung and divisive rhetoric that she has engaged, she cannot drop out of the race at this point. She would lose even more face than she has lost so far. After all, she had already lost the race about a month ago, when a timely withdrawal from the race would have been fitting. You know, before she told her supporters that she could still win and they gave her more money to continue.

Hillary chose to gamble with the superdelegates instead. Fair enough. What is bothersome is that she seems to have chosen to  follow a strategy of dirty campaigning against Obama in the hopes to damage him so much so that superdelegates would have to chose her in the convention.

At this point Hillary must go to the convention. Once again she has the choice to campaign in a healing way, making it easier for her supporters to eventually support Obama, or she can continue with the race baiting, which has soured so many former admirers of her.

Unfortunately, so far, Hillary has failed the character test with her actions. I still hope for her to concede with class, but I am afraid that this is unlikely judging by the people she choses to associate with and with her actions in the last few months.



Yes (Rebecca - 4/24/2008 1:18:53 PM)
I am also concerned about how she is poisoning her supporters. Recently one of them was chiding me about something which was none of his business in the first place. Just after I told him I had given beacoup bucks to Obama he walked to his car and yelled back to me across the parking garage "and next time be ready on day one!". This was a leader in one of the VA Democratic Committees.

I may dislike Hillary, but I don't make it personal with her supporters since, after all, we do live in a democracy.