Obama Surging in OH

By: Flipper
Published On: 2/26/2008 1:03:47 PM

A new Rasmussen poll released today shows Clinton's lead in Ohio down to 48% to 43%.

Clinton's numbers in Ohio are unchanged.  Obama was at 40% last week and 38% the week before.  

http://rasmussenreports.com/pu...


Comments



If he can keep it a virtual tie there (DanG - 2/26/2008 3:30:02 PM)
And win the delegate count in Texas, Hillary might have to consider dropping out.  If she can only pick up ten or twenty pledged delegates, which Obama will make up in the immediate days after, Hillary might need to consider the well being of the party.  


SurveyUSA confirms surge (DanG - 2/26/2008 3:53:56 PM)
http://www.surveyusa.com/clien...

Clinton 50%
Obama 44%

Clinton +6.  Obama is growing steadily, but slowly.  I don't think he'll overcome her in time, but I think he may keep it so close that she need a massive PA win, one that's just impractical, in order to win the nomination.  Obama's major weakness in Ohio is Independents; he's only leading by 2.  He needs to make the same impression on Ohio Independents that he made on Wisconsin Independents, and he could win.



Obama's going to win Ohio. (Lowell - 2/26/2008 6:00:41 PM)
You heard it here first (actually, you've probably heard it elsewhere, but what the heck?)! :)


I'd still put my money otherwise (DanG - 2/26/2008 7:06:44 PM)
I'll bet that it's a virtual tie, though.


Obama picking up endorsements (Lowell - 2/26/2008 4:46:49 PM)
First, Chris Dodd.

Second, it looks like Rep. John Lewis will do the same.

Third, former TX Gov. Mark White has endorsed Obama.

Did I miss any?  The Obama endorsements seem to be coming fast and furious.



Dan, I agree...... (Flipper - 2/26/2008 5:59:24 PM)
he needs to do much better with independents.  But I also think a surge of new voters voting in the primary for the first time might be able to push him over the top.  New voters made up 14% all all voters in WI 35% in VA.  If that number was about 20% in Ohio, that could be worth 5 or 6 points to Obama on election day that is not getting counted.

I'll see if I can dig up some registration numbers since the first of the year for both Ohio and Texas.

And check this article out:  "Obama's Ohio Grassroots Advantage."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/time/2...



The Clinton Campaign Is Clearly Flailing Away At This Point (aznew - 2/26/2008 6:52:30 PM)
My guess is that they really fear losing both Texas and Ohio. they just have not figured out how to stop Obama's momentum, and now they just seem to be putting a lot of different stuff out there to see if any of it takes.

I said a week ago, however, that there was little the Clinton campaign could do to change the dynamic in the race. Obama was (is) either going to make some major, campaign-changing gaffe, or he won't. The Clinton strategy seems to be to try to sucker him into one, but so far it has not succeeded. I doubt it will.

I think all the fuss about negative campaigning splitting the party is a lot of hooey. Despite all the hand-wringing from Obama supporters, this has not been a particularly nasty campaign, IMHO.

I'll tell you this: Clinton is giving it all she has. She is a fighter, and I respect the Hell out of her for it. She can take a punch.