Iowa and NH Dead Heats

By: Lowell
Published On: 12/21/2007 11:27:50 AM

Under two weeks until the Iowa caucuses, and it doesn't get >much loser than this.

Strategic Vision - Iowa
Obama 30%
Clinton 27%
Edwards 27%

Huckabee 31%
Romney 25%
Thompson 16%
McCain 8%

USA Today/Gallup -- New Hamsphire
Clinton 32%
Obama 32%
Edwards 18%
Richardson 8%

Romney 34%
McCain 27%
Giuliani 11%
Huckabee 9%
Paul 9%

In other words, who the heck knows what's going to happen.  One thing's for sure, as Chris Cillizza wrotes, "Someone Has to Win the GOP Nomination."  Same thing with the Democratic nomination, I'd add.  

Comments



Looks like we will have a real contest (Rebecca - 12/21/2007 1:17:11 PM)
This is so close. This is both positive and negative. The positive side is that, theoretically, anyone of three Dems have a chance. The negative side is that a little vote fraud could throw the results in any direction.

Oh, excuse, me I didn't mean to be a conspiracy nut. We all know there is no such thing as vote fraud.



Some polls diverge widely (wildly?) (PM - 12/21/2007 2:02:29 PM)
I'm a fan of www.pollster.com, which lists the past polls under the current ones.  You can also see each candidate's trend lines in each state.  I had to laugh at the recent ones for Iowa Republican:

http://www.pollster.com/08-IA-...

In the last six polls, all done within a few days of one another, McCain is at 6, 7, 14, 9, 8, and 20!

Could there be a brokered GOP convention?

Is McCain's new surge like the situation where someone leaves their unexciting older spouse for a hot new young love, and realizes after a few months maybe it wasn't such a good idea and wants to go back to the spouse?



McCain (citizenindy - 12/21/2007 2:31:32 PM)
I dont care why they come back we are finally having some fun again :-)