New Iowa Poll: Huckabee, Obama Pull Ahead

By: Lowell
Published On: 12/2/2007 8:44:43 AM

According to the Des Moines Register's new Iowa Poll, we now have two new leaders in Iowa with just 4 weeks to go until the caucuses on January 3.  On the Democratic side, it's now Barack Obama at 28%, Hillary Clinton at 25%, and John Edwards at 23%.  Nobody else is in double digits.  In addition, Obama "leads among people who say they definitely will attend the caucuses."  Still, this race is VERY close, with lots of people still saying they could change their minds before January 3.

On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee "has leaped ahead of Republican presidential rival Mitt Romney in Iowa, seizing first place."   It's now 29% for Huckabee, 24% for Romney, 13% for Giuliani, and nobody else in double digits.  The race on the Republican side remains fluid as well, with "Roughly six in 10 likely Republican caucus participants say[ing] they could still be persuaded to support another candidate."

Stay tuned, politics -- like the weather -- can change fast in Iowa!


Comments



Could be a good thing (Dan - 12/2/2007 1:33:03 PM)
Obama also pulled ahead in South Carolina, according to Meet the Press this morning.  Obama is looking more and more electable all the time for me.  

As I look at the Republicans, I have been routing for Huckabee.  McCain is my first choice for Republicans, Huckabee second, Romney third.  All the rest are crazy A-holes.  I obviously wouldn't vote Republican, but I don't want another Bush, which is why Guliani must be defeated.  Analysts say that a Huckabee victory in Iowa over Romney could be good for Guliani.  However, Huckabee may be able to take the nomination.  In 2006, I told people I though Huckabee had the best chance to be the nominee and nobody believed me.  They told me he wasn't on anyone's radar and I didn't understand GOP politics.  For those of you who said that to me, I just want to say you were wrong!



Why are you routing for Huckabee? (tx2vadem - 12/2/2007 3:08:58 PM)
Don't you want someone who is easy to beat?  Huckabee would make for a difficult fight seeing as how he borrows from the Bill Clinton playbook.  McCain would be equally hard to beat because of his pull on independent voters.  Romney I think of the three would be easiest to trounce.  Religious discrimination being what is, I think polling may under-count those who would not vote for him based on his creed.

Ghouliani is an easy win.  He couldn't beat Hillary when he first faced her.  He couldn't beat her if he were to do it again.  And if he can't beat Hillary, he couldn't beat Obama.  All the bad news about him has not hit the general public.  His entire image of being the man to stop "Islamo-fascism" (heavy sigh) is easily deconstructed.  Suffice to say that we can tear him a part when the time comes.  Here I am engaging in the politics of personal destruction, shame on me. =)



A couple of things... (novademocrat - 12/2/2007 5:48:24 PM)
I have been telling friends all year to watch out for Mike Huckabee, and for very good reason.  He doesn't come off as a typical right-wing crazy, and he doesn't come off as a slick used-car salesman.  He was able to get elected for 10 years as Governor of Arkansas, a typical blue-dog democratic state.  He is a very down-to-earth, gun loving (and there is nothing wrong with that), bible-toting, regular guy who because of his preacher background understands how to relate to the common man.  And if there is anything that people in this country love is someone who comes off as regular (read: George Bush circa 1999/2000.)

Given time and some money, I said he could pull it out and that is exactly what is happening now.  Fred Dalton Thompson was a bomb and conservatives want someone who can win, and they are turning to Huckabee to be that person.  Look for him to win Iowa, come in 1st or 2nd in NH, win South Carolina and roll from there.  And watch out for him in the general...



Rasmussen Daily Now Has Huckabee at #2 Nationally (PM - 12/2/2007 1:33:30 PM)
http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

12/02/07

22%  Rudy

14%  Fred

11%  Mitt

14%  McCain

17% Huckabee



Obama endorsed by Des Moines mayor (Lowell - 12/2/2007 5:51:55 PM)
This appears to be a big endorsement for Barack Obama.  Des Moines is the largest city in Iowa, with around 200,000 people.  


Norquist has no problem with Huckabee (PM - 12/4/2007 10:56:49 AM)
That Huckabee's candidacy is catching fire, one need only look at the mumblings from self-appointed anti-tax king Grover Norquist who now thinks Huckabee is okay on fiscal responsibility.  http://www.cbn.com/cbnnews/279...
Up to now, the knock by conservatives (like Club for Greed) against Huckabee has been that he is too much of a big government populist.  This video where Huckabee is addressing the Arkansas legislature is instructive.  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

Has anyone seen the Iowa ad for Huckabee that is drawing comment?

"Faith doesn't just influence me. It defines me." So says Mike Huckabee in a new TV ad. *** Indeed, in the same ad where Huckabee talks about his faith, in huge white letters across the screen appear the words, "Christian Leader."
http://news.bostonherald.com/n...

That is really scary to me.



Rasmussen Daily: Huckabee, Rudy tied (PM - 12/4/2007 5:45:01 PM)
http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

perhaps Rudy's expense account problems dinged him a little?