Good call on these, Skippy. 

Clearly Warner wins the Senate, so let's move on to the House races that "could" be in play (the Second is only in play with the right candidate). 

I think that the Eleventh is competetive right now, and if Davis drops out becomes a likely pick-up.  Depends on who gets the nomination and whether Tom wants to stay in.  Hearing rumors of as many as five different people in the race for the Democratic Nomination.  Could mix things up a bit.

The other two rely a little more on circumstance.  Feder is going to have to do something different in 2008 if she wants to beat Wolf.  I was actually shocked at how poor the results were, seeing how hard she campaigned and how much money she was able to bring in.  I don't know the area well enough to assume I know the answer, but something has to change in that campaign.

As for the Second, it's possible with the right candidate.  Thelma is generally unpopular, and should've been beaten by Kellam last year.  However, Phil's Campaign was driven into the ground by DC Consultants.  Democrats need to find the right candidate in this area (Jody Wagner, Tim Kaine's Secretary of Finance, would be ideal) and let the race be run by locals.

For the 10th District: a retired military advisor has announced that he is running.  I can't remember his name but I met him at a Chap/Margi event.

For the 11th District: Has Connolly announced?  We all know he almost definitely will, but... he hasn't yet has he?

... you're talking about is Mike Turner, who's already on James's list. Connolly hasn't officially declared, but he can't really do that for awhile since he was just re-elected. I'd expect an announcement sometime in January or so.

According to the Goddard Political Wire, http://politicalwire...

With the news that Rep. Tom Udall (D-NM) -- "an immensely popular congressman" -- would seek the seat of retiring Sen. Pete Domenici (R-NM), the Evans-Novak Political Report changes its 2008 forecast.

"The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has a big fundraising edge over its Republican counterpart, and with the GOP defending at least five open seats and at least three vulnerable incumbents, their resources will be spread thin. The Republicans might find some hope in the fact that Udall didn't really want to run in the first place, but this is the fourth GOP Senate seat to enter our Democratic column. Leaning Democratic Takeover."

Some Green party guy running against Jim Moran.

Token  opposition only.

Iraq Vet from Chatham Brydon Jackson

n/t

He was raising money, but didn't raise the $5k for mandatory FEC filing.  I heard that something happened with his job and he had to go to Colorado.  Not sure how truthful this is, or if it is just a rumor.

11th district gop
http://fimianforcong...