Election night, Part II

By: Rob
Published On: 11/6/2007 10:45:53 PM

So far, it's looking good for the Senate.  Chap is in a strong lead, Barker and Oleszek are up early, Miller is maintaining a lead late, and Northam is leading strongly as well.  Great chance we'll get  the four we need to take back the Senate, assuming the incumbents hold (which looks good too so far).

It's also looking like at least 3 pickups in the House -- Vanderhye and Mathieson look strong.  Bouchard has already won a close one.  If that's it for tonight in the House of Delegates, that's a decent haul for tonight.

But all eyes are on the Senate ... and on the Oleszek-Cuccinelli race especially.

I'm stepping out for about 30 minutes, and the results will keep pouring in.  I'll be back soon to return to the results pages, but in the meantime keep your fellow Dems updated in the comments.


Comments



Woohooo (doctormatt06 - 11/6/2007 10:52:21 PM)
Pollard has taken the lead!!!!!!


Yep, beat me to it (Chris Guy - 11/6/2007 10:59:22 PM)
6 precincts in Stafford still not in though.


Crud... (doctormatt06 - 11/6/2007 11:05:59 PM)
Now Stuart's winning..and he's 1,000 votes up with only a handful of precincts left...

HOPE!!!



Stuart by 168 votes with 91% in (Chris Guy - 11/6/2007 11:08:03 PM)
all that's left is 2 precincts PWC and 4 in Northumberland, which Pollard's doing well in.

I have no idea.



crap (Chris Guy - 11/6/2007 11:09:35 PM)
it is 1,000. I don't know if Pollard can make that up.


umm... (doctormatt06 - 11/6/2007 11:10:24 PM)
I have Stuart up by 1,000 votes on my compy


yeah, I got it (Chris Guy - 11/6/2007 11:11:34 PM)
NLS calls it for Stuart.


So far Chap has won every precinct reporting (teacherken - 11/6/2007 11:01:02 PM)
could JMDD get skunked, despite Tom's hundreds of thousands?

and anyone think he might still run again?



Remember, Christmas is right around the corner (Chris Guy - 11/6/2007 11:03:02 PM)
I'm thinking of sending JMDD a big, blue bowtie.


Two big blue bowties, please. (spotter - 11/6/2007 11:14:08 PM)
And two widdle ones for the doggies.


Heh, oops (Craig - 11/6/2007 11:08:43 PM)
Guess the vaunted "Davis Machine" just ain't what it used to be.


Miller Wins! (SD-01) (ortcutt - 11/6/2007 11:01:18 PM)
John C. Miller: 51.01%
Patricia B. "Tricia" Stall: 48.63%

100% of Precincts Reporting



Northam Win Statistically Certain (ortcutt - 11/6/2007 11:04:20 PM)
Northam: 16,944
Rerras: 14,243

56 of 58 (96.55%) Precincts Reporting

It's impossible for Northam to lose with 2 precincts left and this kind of lead.



16 of 16 reporting and Mathieson wins the 21st HD (dsvabeachdems - 11/6/2007 11:13:15 PM)
We'll miss Doc Welch...


Them voters sure am fickle. (spotter - 11/6/2007 11:15:24 PM)


Ain't them? (dsvabeachdems - 11/6/2007 11:16:16 PM)


Miller, Northam and Petersen Will Win (ortcutt - 11/6/2007 11:15:03 PM)
The only question now is whether we get a fourth.

Oleszek/Cuccinelli and Barker/O'Brian will decide this thing.



Plug Schulz/Vogel (SD-27) (ortcutt - 11/6/2007 11:37:27 PM)
Schulz is down 1,810 votes but 0 of 18 Loudoun County precincts are in.  Every other precinct in the district is in.


Interesting..... (USCKB - 11/6/2007 11:15:32 PM)
no movement on the vogel / schultz numbers in almost an hour?

Is something afoot?



no reports from Loudoun on any race (teacherken - 11/6/2007 11:22:04 PM)
what is out is 18 precincts in W Loudoun - unlikely to make up difference, may widen it

the weak race run by Martinez probably did not help



Still looking good for Oleszek (counter - 11/6/2007 11:15:46 PM)
14 of 39 precincts in, and she's running well ahead of 2003 in all but one.


and George Barker...it is a horse race.. (kevinceckowski - 11/6/2007 11:19:44 PM)
but don't know the county (s) that well to know what has to come in yet.


Barker will win -- that's my prediciton (jiacinto - 11/6/2007 11:22:40 PM)
There are more votes in Farifax and the PW County part is almost in. If Barker can hold onto the Fairfax County part of the district then he will win.


Cooch just took the lead (FredFred - 11/6/2007 11:31:02 PM)
but I don't know anything about the precinct breakdown.


Some of the bigger republican precincts came in (counter - 11/6/2007 11:37:28 PM)
In the 21 precincts that have come in before, Cuccinelli got 54.0% in 2003, so he's running 3.75% behind that this time--if he keeps that pace, Oleszek will pull it out.


Looks like 20-20 at the worst.... (USCKB - 11/6/2007 11:22:11 PM)
37 and 39 could take it anywhere from 20 to 22.

Which really just leaves 20, 21, and 22, I suppose.



Sweet (bigforkgirl - 11/6/2007 11:22:42 PM)
It will be even sweeter if Janet and George win, too.  Love the Dems in Sully, especially.  Sully Dems have worked very, very hard, especially since 2004.  All the hard work is paying off.  Love that Janet exceeded expectations in Londontown West.


Barker ahead! (kevinceckowski - 11/6/2007 11:24:32 PM)
Still very close!


HD-51: Nichols (D) leading Faisal (R): 62% of Precincts (ortcutt - 11/6/2007 11:25:10 PM)
Paul F. Nichols (D): 3,866 (50.84%)
Faisal M. Gill (R): 3,708 (48.76%)

Precincts Reporting: 10 of 16 (62.5%)



Where does this put us in H of D? (USCKB - 11/6/2007 11:26:01 PM)
For the night... + 4 (so 7 seat minority?)


Too Early to Say (ortcutt - 11/6/2007 11:30:08 PM)
Vanderhye/Hunt (HD-34) is too close to call with only 7 of 19 (36.84%) precincts reporting.

HD-51 is also too close to call.



Interesting Stats in ALBO race????? (The Donkey - 11/6/2007 11:25:59 PM)
Albo 63%

Write In 37%



Major opportunity lost there. (Rob - 11/6/2007 11:48:01 PM)


We could have run a yellow dog for that seat (The Grey Havens - 11/6/2007 11:49:13 PM)
and won it.

We didn't get an opponent for Albo!  I could spit.



ah, Chap did NOT pitch a shutout (teacherken - 11/6/2007 11:38:57 PM)
JMDD won Oakton, so she won't get shut out.

She lost Stenwood by 3 votes, and Sunrise Valley by 1 (and there was one write-in).



JMDD Concedes....FOX 5 Reports (varealist - 11/6/2007 11:41:50 PM)
It's over!


YEAHHH (GAida - 11/6/2007 11:42:34 PM)
CHAP'S VICTORY IS OFFICIAL!!!

woooOOOOO!!!



Now time for Tom Davis to go hide in a cave (vote-left - 11/6/2007 11:44:35 PM)


SD-37 tightening up (counter - 11/6/2007 11:45:22 PM)
Cuccinelli seems to be maintaining his strength in the more Republican precincts. Going to be a very close call.


27 of 39 precincts in (counter - 11/6/2007 11:56:42 PM)
Cuccinelli up by 105 votes. He won the same 27 precincts by 1,807 in 2003, so he's lost 1,702 votes versus 2003--Oleszek only needs to pick up 402 more in the last 12 precincts to win.


Barker up by almost 6% with 55% reporting SEN 39 (PM - 11/6/2007 11:46:20 PM)


Connolly doing very well -- 61% reporting (PM - 11/6/2007 11:52:35 PM)
He's up, with 61% in, 59% to 36%.

John Frey is up by 2% over Dale Evans (D).  Morrogh appears to have an easy win in the DA race, 56-44%.



Still nothing new in SD 27 or 28.... (USCKB - 11/6/2007 11:53:37 PM)
Schnikes.


Janet down 52 votes with one precinct out and 550 absentees out (PM - 11/7/2007 12:01:33 AM)
I just talked to someone in the campaign.  Looks like there will be a recount, if it is that close.


Where is that (jiacinto - 11/7/2007 12:03:36 AM)
last precinct?


SBE still has... (ericy - 11/7/2007 12:05:02 AM)

10 precincts to go.  I am confused here...


SBE now has (ericy - 11/7/2007 12:18:39 AM)

7 precincts to go, and Cuckoo has a 4 vote lead.


Where is this info from? (catleigh - 11/7/2007 12:07:10 AM)
Just wondering because the SBE site is apparently lagging behind wherever you're getting you're numbers.


Caputo wins HD67 53-47% (PM - 11/7/2007 12:03:32 AM)
This is still a tough Republican district.  The GOP candidate, Cadin, ran a close-mouthed campaign (having learned, perhaps, from the Craddock debacle, to keep his mouth shut).


Something's wrong in Fairfax County . . . (catleigh - 11/7/2007 12:04:32 AM)
and I'm wondering how/if it's going to affect the election.  Look at the Fairfax County Supervisor's races in the Springfield and Providence Districts.  In Providence, the Democrat who's running unopposed has gotten 0 votes with two thirds of precincts reporting.  In Springfield, the Republican candidate has gotten 0 votes with 57% of the precincts reporting.  Are the voting machines, the unverifiable, no-paper-trail machines, in Fairfax just not counting votes for those candidates?  Obviously, the Smyth and Herrity campaigns aren't going to just let this slide . . . and if those races were counted wrong, what about the rest of the results we're all following so closely?


Liz Griffith Tessie Wilson School Board Race (The Donkey - 11/7/2007 12:08:17 AM)
. . . is neck and neck, with key precincts for Liz yet to report.

Holding my breath.



Latest Stats (The Donkey - 11/7/2007 12:57:53 AM)
Show her down by fourteen votes with a few precincts left to report.


Dunno where the remaining SD-39 precincts are (counter - 11/7/2007 12:09:54 AM)
But if Barker can stay at 52.8% in Fairfax, it should be in the bag.


Last few precincts haven't been kind to Oleszek (counter - 11/7/2007 12:13:55 AM)
Cuccinelli running ahead of 2003 in republican Dulles.


Burke Centre in huge for Oleszek (counter - 11/7/2007 12:18:42 AM)
745-519.

She needs to gain 185 votes relative to 2003 in the last 7 precincts.



Fairfax County website says Cuccinelli wins narrowly, maybe (counter - 11/7/2007 12:33:49 AM)
They have results from some precincts not reported on the state website--Cuccinelli is ahead by 100 votes with everything counted except Parkway and the absentees--Oleszek won Parkway by 31 votes according to the state site, so she'd need to win the absentees by 69.


Absentees (Arlington Mike - 11/7/2007 12:37:10 AM)
Anyone know how many absentees there are?  In a district like this, lots of college students, etc., I could see there being a lot...


There were 902 in 2003 (counter - 11/7/2007 12:40:54 AM)
It's at least within the realm of possibility for her to win by 69.


Expanding on that (counter - 11/7/2007 12:47:55 AM)
If there were 902 absentees this time, she'd need 486 to win--that would be 53.88%. Mitchell got 50.88% of the absentees in 2003, so she'd have to run 3% ahead of 2003--right now she's 3.18% ahead of 2003 across the district.

So it is possible.



Pollard Not Done--Take a look at the latest results (tpaine1801 - 11/7/2007 1:10:25 AM)
Lost in the hubbab about Pollard's defeat being the bitterest moment for Dems tonight...it was overlooked that Northumberland County is his home county....the results are coming in and he is nearly even with Stuart again. The last precing shound be interesting as well as the recount.